حزب مردم بلوچستان  Balochistan People’s Party  بلوچستانءِ اُستمانءِ گــَل

 

 

Balochistan after Bugti

By Alok Bansal
August 28, 2006

Rediff India

The recent reports that nationalist leader Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti was killed by Pakistani troops in a fierce operation that resulted in the death of 37 Baloch nationalists and 21 elite commandos of Pakistani security forces in Kohlu District of Balochistan in the early hours of August 27 does not augur well for the restive province.
The reaction to his killing has been strong and violent. Over five hundred people are reported to have been arrested. An indefinite curfew has been clamped on Quetta, and Karachi is reported to be tense. There is no doubt that the Sardar of Bugti tribals commanded large-scale support in his traditional stronghold, even though a government sponsored assembly of leaders of various Bugti sub-clans had just the other day declared the end of Sardari system in Dera Bugti.

But as is apparent now, this government sponsored show made no dent to the popular support enjoyed by Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti, the leader of the largest Bugti tribe � popularly known as the 'Tiger of Balochistan'. A strong proponent of Baloch autonomy, he is believed to have said, "I have been a Baloch for several centuries. I have been a Muslim for 1400 years. I have been a Pakistani for just over fifty."

British-educated Nawab Akbar Bugti, who was in his 80s and had played a major role in the politics of Balochistan for five decades, was relatively a late entrant to the cause of Baloch nationalism and till his recent falling out with the Pakistani establishment; he had been one of the pillars of Pakistani government in the region.

He was not only the first Baloch to be nominated to the Pakistani cabinet, but also a former chief minister of the province. He had also been the governor of the province and Islamabad's point man during the last major conflagration in Balochistan from 1973 to 1979.

He was reported to have been ruling his subjects with a firm hand and had been accused of operating private jails and running a feudal justice system in his area. His running feud with Kalpar Waderas, the hereditary head of one of the Baloch sub-clans had led to the forced migration of over 10,000 Kalpars from Dera Bugti. He was also the leader of Jamhoori Watan Party, which has representation in the provincial assembly as well as in the parliament.

He had been attempting to get all Baloch nationalist parties under one umbrella. Of late, he had been in the limelight during the ongoing anti government resistance and Dera Bugti district his traditional stronghold has been the scene of most pitched battles fought between security forces and the Baloch nationalists.

In January 2005, after a Sindhi lady doctor was allegedly raped by an army officer in Sui, Bugti tribesmen had stormed the Pakistan Petroleum Limited Complex at Sui and the four day long running battle resulted in rebels firing more than 14,000 rounds of small arms, 436 mortar and 60 rockets. The pitched battles at Sui gave a severe jolt to Pakistani economy and in the immediate aftermath Karachi Stock Exchange lost almost half its net worth.

The security forces had tried to eliminate him earlier in March 2005, when they had shelled his ancestral house at Dera Bugti. Although 17 shells hit his residence, he survived. The day-long shelling claimed 67 lives, including 33 Hindus, who inhabited the neighbouring Hindu ghetto and eight Frontier Corps men. It also resulted in injury to over 100 people and severe damage to a number of houses and temples.

Bugti had to flee Dera Bugti early this year and take refuge in the mountains surrounding Dera Bugti and Kohlu districts, from where he had been coordinating the Baloch resistance.

The killing of Nawab Bugti seems to have galvanised the Baloch nationalists. There were protests all across Balochistan and protesters burnt vehicles, banks and petrol pumps in Quetta, established roadblocks by burning tyres, and an indefinite curfew had to be clamped in the city.

In Kalat, 150 km South of Quetta, a government building was bombed and a telephone exchange set alight. Baloch nationalists have called for a total strike throughout Balochistan today. In Karachi, the largest city of Pakistan, there was rioting in Baloch dominated areas.

The killing was been criticised by almost all political parties who are constituents of Association for Restoration of Democracy (ARD), as well as by Muttahida Majlis e Amal (MMA) and even by Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM), which is a key constituent of the federal government as well as the Sindh Government.

The widespread criticism has forced the government to refute original reports that satellite phone trackers were used to locate Nawab Bugti, thereby implying that he indeed was the target.

According to the latest version from the government, the area was targeted after an Army helicopter came under fierce attack from the rebels while over-flying the region. The ensuing battle led to the caving in of the mud bunker where Bugti along with his men had taken shelter. The fact that over 20 elite commandos were killed by the rebels indicates that the rebels gave the security forces a tough fight before they capitulated.

Despite the government's attempts to paint him as an autocratic feudal despot, Sardar Akbar Khan Bugti, on account of the circumstances and the manner of his death, is destined to become a martyr of Baloch nationalism like Nauroz Khan before him.

By killing Bugti, General Musharraf has now permanently alienated a significant section of Baloch population. He has apparently underestimated the Baloch nationalism which has led to four major insurgencies since Pakisan came into being.

A spokesman of the neighbouring and equally recalcitrant Marri tribe reported that over 140 people from the Bugti and Marri tribes had been killed in the air and ground operations. He said that it was a major operation in which both sides suffered losses, but he went on to add that despite the death of Akbar Bugti, their struggle would continue.

Maybe Nawab Bugti's death will help him to achieve what he failed to achieve during his lifetime � the unity of all Baloch nationalist groups.

Alok Bansal is a Research Fellow at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi. The views expressed are his own.

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A loss for Pakistan, A gain for Baloch Nationalists

By Walid Garboni
28-08-2006

The martyrdom of Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti is a loss for Pakistan and a gain for Baloch nationalist movement. Until 2003 Baloch nationalists were regarding him a pro establishment and an obstacle before Baloch national movement, but the current arrogant establishment which comprises some novice and inexperienced politicians drove this powerful Nawab of Bugti tribe to extreme.

When Nawab Bugti started armed resistance against the Pakistan establishment Baloch nationalists saw this change a bonus for Baloch nationalist movement, even though many nationalist were still not sure if he was genuinely with Baloch. They feared that he could sell out to the establishment once he was offered a good deal. But those fearful were proven wrong and he earned the backing of many Baloch from all over the world and respect of entire Baloch nation. The living proof of his popularity has been endorsed by widespread show of anger by the Baloch in Pakistan and rest of the world after his death.

All sincere and serious politicians of Pakistan know and are truly right that the Martyrdom of Nawab Bugti is a big loss for Pakistan and the greatest gain for Baloch nationalist movement. He was undoubtedly, the biggest ever Baloch figure who is martyred by a Pakistani Establishment.

Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti said in one of his latest interviews “I am too old to bow, it is better to die (for Baloch rights) in mountains then in the bed.” He fulfilled his promise.

Nawab Bugti’s bereavement if compared to that of Gaus Baksh Bezanjo’s will have visible impact on Baloch nation’s behaviour. If closely looked we can note that when Gaus Baksh Bezanjo was alive Baloch people voted against him because he had a pro Pakistan approach in comparison to his opponents, but when he died immediately after the elections people’s behaviour changed entirely and in the following elections all those who stood against Gaus Baksh were voted off.

As the result of this martyrdom it is high likely that many Baloch politicians who are part of the current establishment will be wiped off the political scene in the upcoming elections as well as they all will be treated as Black Sheep of Balochistan by the people. They probably be forced out of Balochistan and seek settlement in Punjab or Islamabad.
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India must stand by the Balochs

August 28, 2006
By B. Raman

Rediff India

 

The Pakistan Air Force and Army, using aircraft, helicopters and communication sets given by the US and missiles given by the Chinese, claims to have killed Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti, one of the founding fathers of the Baloch independence struggle.
Thirty six other freedom-fighters belonging to the Bugti and Marri tribes were killed in a three-day operation which began August 24 in the Bhambore Hills, an area between the towns of Kohlu and Dera Bugti. According to Pakistani media reports, Balach Marri, who was believed to be the chief of the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA), and Nawab Bugti's grandsons Brahamdagh and Mir Ali Bugti were among those killed.

Reliable sources in Balochistan said the Pakistan Army, using modern communication monitoring sets given by the US for pinpointing the location of Osama bin Laden, Ayman al-Zawahiri and other remnants of the Al Qaeda in Pakistani territory, managed to pinpoint the cave in which Nawab Bugti and his followers had taken shelter for more than a year to escape being killed by the Pakistani military.

The Air Force went into action on August 24 and 25 and repeatedly bombed these caves. Thereafter, special commando units of the Pakistan Army, which had been moved into Balochistan from the North Waziristan area, went into the area and raided the caves. The survivors of the air strikes put up a stiff resistance before they were overcome by the army commandos. Before dying, the freedom fighters managed to kill 40 army commandos, including six officers.

The plans for a decapitation strike against Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti and the commander of the BLA had been drawn up by Air Vice Marshal Shehzad Aslam Chaudhry last year when he was the Deputy Chief of Air Staff (Operations) last year, and approved by General Pervez Musharraf. Chaudhry has since retired and has been posted as Pakistan's High Commissioner to Sri Lanka to help the Sri Lankan government in its operations against the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE).

However, these plans could not be implemented due to lack of precise intelligence regarding the location of the hideouts of Nawab Bugti. Moreover, the increasing activities of the Al Qaeda in North Wazaristan came in the way of the Pakistani military shifting reinforcements to Balochistan. Reported expression of concern by American officials over the misuse of the equipment, including helicopter gunships, given by them for use against Al Qaeda, in the operations against the Baloch freedom fighters also came in the way of the immediate implementation of the plans.

Two months ago, the Pakistan Army reached a ceasefire agreement with the remnants of the Al Qaeda and the Taliban in North Waziristan. Under this agreement, the jihadis and their local tribal supporters agreed to suspend their operations against the Pakistani security forces. In return, the latter agreed not to interfere with their raids into Afghanistan.

This ceasefire agreement enabled the Pakistan Army to shift its forces, helicopters and communication equipment to Balochistan for operations against the leaders of the Baloch freedom struggle.

Well-informed sources in Balochistan say that the praise showered on General Musharraf recently by the US and the UK for his projected, but not yet proved role in helping the British Police to thwart a jihadi plan to blow up 10 US-bound planes emboldened Musharraf to launch this operation against the Baloch freedom fighters. He felt that in view of this praise, US and British officials were unlikely to take a strong stand against his operations in Balochistan.

The successful decapitation strike launched by the Pakistan Air Force and Army is a major tragedy for the Baloch freedom fighters, but they are not strangers to tragedies. This would only further strengthen their resolve to step up their independence struggle against the Punjabi-military colonisation of Balochistan, with the alleged assistance of China.

Tha Balochs have always been well disposed towards the US. Their anger over the misuse of the US equipment given for anti-Al Qaeda operations by Musharraf for killing the Baloch leaders is unlikely to turn them against the US. However, the anti-Chinese anger in Balochistan is likely to increase further.

There are already reports of widespread violence in Balochistan in the wake of the martyrdom of Nawab Bugti and other brave freedom fighters, resulting in the imposition of a curfew. The Baloch freedom struggle has entered a new phase. The Pakistan Army and Air Force have shown that they have had no lessons to learn from the consequences of the similar policies followed by them in the pre-1971 East Pakistan.

In this hour of national tragedy, the Balochs have re-dedicated themselves to their independence struggle and resolved to keep up their struggle till freedom becomes a reality. The Balochs, like the Sindhis, the Mohajirs and large sections of the Pashtuns, have always been the traditional friends and well-wishers of India.

The Government of India should not hesitate to condemn the Pakistani military's massacre of Nawab Bugti and other Baloch freedom fighters in the strongest terms. Whatever be the attitude of the Indian policymakers, the people of India will stand by the Balochs in their hour of tragedy and re-dedication.

The names of Nawab Bugti and other Baloch martyrs will remain enshrined in letters of gold in the history of independent Balochistan, when it becomes a reality, as it will.

The writer is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute for Topical Studies, Chennai. E-mail:itschen36@gmail.com

B Raman

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India condemns Bugti killing

NDTV Correspondent

Monday, August 28, 2006 (New Delhi):
 
In a remarkably strong statement, India has slammed Pakistan for the killing of iconic Baloch rebel Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti.
In the statement released by the foreign office, New Delhi called the killing a tragic loss to the people of Balochistan and Pakistan.
The description of Balochistan as a separate entity is bound to anger Islamabad.

MEA statement>>>

Need for dialogue

The statement goes on to say that military operations in Balochistan underline the need for a peaceful dialogue and that military force can never solve political problems.

It further adds that Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti played a prominent role in Pakistani politics for over four decades and that his death leaves a vacuum that will be difficult to fill.

The MEA statement comes at a time when relations between the two countries are already strained.

India had accused Pakistan of having a hand in the Mumbai blasts and Pakistan has in the past accused India of backing the separatist violence in Balochistan.

'Accidental' killing

Meanwhile, the Opposition in Pakistan has also joined in the protests against Bugti's killing.

However, President Pervez Musharraf has said army operations in the region will continue. Perhaps to stem the rising criticism, the Pakistani establishment is also now saying that Bugti was killed accidentally.

"It was never our intention to harm him physically. What happened yesterday was something of not government's own doing. The land mines, which exploded, caused this explosion to bring down the cave. But certainly, it was not our intention to kill him," said Tariq Azim, Pakistan Deputy Information Minister.

Balochistan has sparked off a new round of tension in the Indo-Pak relations.

By saying military force cannot solve a political issue, New Delhi is using Pakistan's rhetoric on Kashmir to beat Islamabad.
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Politics

The Baloch blunder

Editorial

THE INDIAN EXPRESS<

http://www.financialexpress.com
Posted online: Tuesday, August 29, 2006 at 1318 hours IST

AUGUST 29: The missile attack launched by the Pakistan army on Baloch leader Nawab Akbar Bugti has given a fresh lease of life to Balochistan’s long simmering insurgency and put further strain on Pakistan’s fragile nation state.
The saner voices within Pakistan have already expressed the fear that it could bring about what one national newspaper termed a “recrudescence of nationalist sentiment” within Pakistan.

The consequences of the killing may take a while to play out, but already rumblings of political discontent within Pakistan’s political mainstream have merged with the full-throated anger of the Baloch insurgents. Not only are Pakistan’s famous political exiles in a state of high exultation, even Musharraf’s close political associate, Shujjat Hussain, appears to have distanced himself from the attack. The Pakistan army may be very gung-ho over the assassination, but the Musharraf government has had to tone down its rhetoric on the issue.

It could be a moment that furthers the realisation within Pakistan that stirring the ethnic pot is a strategy that is both dangerous and unwise.

For India it is important to read the moment right. It has to find the balance between responding to a development that has serious consequences for the stability of the entire region and keeping the rather etiolated Indo-Pak peace process going, with Pervez Musharraf and Manmohan Singh slated to meet in Havana two weeks down the line. India has officially kept its nose out of the Balochistan insurgency and it is clearly not in this country’s interest to get involved. At the same time it cannot but be interested in the project of a democratic Pakistan.

The observation in the official Indian statement that “military force can never solve political problems” would be read very differently across the border, but it is nevertheless a useful principle for both countries to iterate. India should also take enough care to ensure that its empathy for the Baloch cause does not give an opportunity to Islamabad to either discredit the movement or divide opposition leaders by laying them open to the charge that they are toeing the Indian line.
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Rebel Leader Who Shook Pakistan
Bugti joins Spartacus and Che Guevera in the history books

 

Published 2006-08-28 16:58 (KST)

"Let them win their battles, the Baluch will win the war!" This declaration portrays a heroic feeling of resistance. Similar declarations can be found everywhere in the history of human civilization. In ancient times, slaves like Spartacus challenged the Roman Empire; then in modern times Omar Mukhtar and Che Guevera challenged the oppressive rulers with such announcements.


 
 
 
©2006 wikipedia

But the above quote was not taken from any history book or epic poem, but spoken in our own times just a few days ago by Baluch rebel leader Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti, who fought until his last breath against Pakistani security agencies.

Bugti, popularly known as the "Tiger of Baluchistan," was killed in a powerful air attack by Pakistani security forces on late Saturday night, in the mountains of Baluchistan.

Bugti was born in Barkhan on July 12, 1927. He was educated at Oxford, England and served in the prestigious posts of governor and chief minister of Baluchistan.

Baluchistan is the largest province in Pakistan, located at the eastern edge of the Iranian plateau. Despite its rich mineral resources, it is one of the most economically backward regions of the country. This land of tribes has seen a number of uprisings since the formation of Pakistan.

Baluch tribes are known for their militant character and fighting skills. Bugti also learned from the very soil how to raise voices against injustice. His Kalashnikov was on his shoulder until his last moments.

Recent clashes between the tribes and Pakistani security forces began in 2005 when army personnel allegedly raped a female doctor in Sui town of Baluchistan. This led to a major clash near Dera Bugti, which caused some heavy casualties to Pakistan security forces.

After the clash, Pakistani security forces bombarded Bugti's house and he narrowly escaped. Bugti moved to the mountains to wage a guerrilla war against the Pakistani security forces.

Pakistani security forces operating in Baluchistan violated the residents' human rights, as a report in the New York Times (NYT) stated. Security forces detained students, doctors, and tribal leaders, with many disappearing for months, even years, without trials in well-documented cases. Some have been tortured or have died while in custody.

"The military government has imposed military rule and this has forced the Baluch to defend their land and resources against the might of the armed forces of Pakistan assembled in our area," said Bugti, in an exclusive interview with NYT in April.

"The dispute is about the national rights of the Baluch, and if the government accepted these rights, then there would be no dispute," he added.

Several days ago Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf made a direct threat against Bugti, saying, "You won't know what hit you!"

In a befitting reply to Mushraf's threat, Bugti said, "Now, we have gone into the 'guerrilla mode' of warfare, I will give you a war you won't forget and send you back to the barracks where you belong!"

At last, Bugti has become part of history, the history that begins with rebels like Sparatcus and proceeds with Che and Omar. Like them, Bugti also fought for the people and died like a heroic martyr. That is why thousands of youth marching in the streets of Baluchistan are ready to hold the Kalashnkov he left behind. It seems they are committed to the words of their beloved leader that, "It is better to die quickly in the mountains than slowly in your bed."

©2006 OhmyNews

http://english.ohmynews.com/articleview/article_view.asp?at_code=355796&no=313741&rel_no=1

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Is Balochistan another Bangladesh?

Col (retd) Anil Athale

http://in.rediff.com/

August 29, 2006
The killing of Baloch Nationalist leader Sardar Akbar Khan Bugti along with two dozen of his followers on August 26 by the Pakistani army has raised a storm in Balochistan.
Many see a close parallel between the happenings there and in erstwhile East Pakistan in 1971, when it seceded and became Bangladesh. There was the infamous massacre of the intellectuals/leadership at Dacca University.

Ironically, Akbar Khan and his Bugti tribe were considered closer to the ruling establishment of Pakistan as opposed to the Mengal or Marri tribe that was allied with the National Awami Party founded by 'Frontier Gandhi' Khan Abdul Gaffar Khan.

Turmoil in Balochistan has a long history. It is the largest province of Pakistan, but is very sparsely populated. In addition, it has almost all of Pakistan's mineral and natural gas resources. Yet is also undoubtedly the least developed part of Pakistan.

While Balochistan supplies the natural resources, the Balochis themselves remained poor. This had bred a sense of grievance.

In 1971, at the height of the Bangladesh war, processions were taken out in Quetta in favour of independence for Balochistan. Slogans were raised praising Indira Gandhi and surprisingly, General Jagjit Singh Arora, who was perceived as the liberator of Bangladesh. The first revolt in the 1970s was ruthlessly put down by the Pakistani army led by General Tikka Khan, who earned the nickname of 'Butcher of Balochistan'.

Like the initial Six Point programme of the late Sheikh Mujibur Rehman of Bangladesh, most Balochis agitated for regional autonomy and not independence or secession. That this struggle was violent has more to do with the tribal ethos and general lawlessness of Pakistan, rather than any real evil intent.

Yet like Bangladesh, Pakistan, under military rule, has used purely military means to solve a political problem. In the case of Bangladesh, according to the report of the Hamidur Rehman Commission (appointed by the Pakistan government), more than 300,000 Bangladeshis were killed in a span of six months. Yet rather than end the revolt and solve the problem, Pakistan lost its eastern wing.

Pakistan has also been freely using helicopter gunships and airpower against its own people. It is interesting to compare Indian operations in Jammu and Kashmir with this. We have never used airpower in Kashmir. The reason is simply that it is a blunt instrument and the danger of collateral damage is great.

Despite all the motivated anti-India propaganda, the total casualties do not exceed 40,000 over 10 years in Kashmir (of which 2,000 are Indian soldiers and many thousands are victims of terror strikes). Does it mean that the Indian army uses rubber bullets?

The truth is that it is well understood in India that quelling an internal unrest is a long haul, and massive force cannot be used indiscriminately. Do the Pakistanis (and their sympathisers in India) realise that in this brutality there is very little to choose between Israel's attacks on Lebanon or Palestine and Pakistan?

The Indian approach towards the leaders of insurrection has also been very different, be it the late Angami Zapu Phizo of Nagaland, Laldenga of the Mizo National Front or even Ahmed Shah Geelani of Kashmir's pro-Pak Jamaat-e-Islami.

As a matter of record, Geelani got a lease of life when he was treated for cancer in Mumbai's Tata Memorial Centre (at the Indian taxpayers expense) a few years ago. That he continues to spew venom at India and Indians speaks volumes of his character.

Indians never went in after individuals. Maybe it has something to do with the fact that Indians would rather follow the British model of Malaya (under Sir Gerald Templer who successfully dealt with the Malayan communist insurgency).

The Pakistani army, under the heavy influence of the Americans, is more prone to follow the Vietnam model of body count and search and destroy missions.

Obviously the Pakistani army does not want to learn from its own mistakes in Bangladesh or its neighbour's success. When Musharraf calls it a 'great victory' he betrays a 'company commander' mentality (using deductive military logic of tactics for complex strategic and politico-military issues). With this one event it seems Musharraf has used up his nine lives and his physical or political continuity is in grave doubt.

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh should be well advised to avoid meeting him in Cuba or the US since he is a likely to remain a 'lame duck' dictator (despite his high sounding title of President). India's indirect endorsement of him will alienate Baloch opinion as well as his likely democratic or military successor.

Essentially Balochistan and Pakistan's tragedy is its inability to evolve a federal structure. Autonomy of provinces is wrongly viewed as a threat to national security. Our southern neighbour Sri Lanka suffers from similar disease.

The creation of a set-up similar to India's provincial structure is something the Tamils would be quite satisfied with notwithstanding their demand for an independent Eelam. But the movement towards federalism in Pakistan is stalled in the absence of true democracy, the only ultimate solution (as advocated in Great Danger, Grand Opportunity by Inpad members on rediff.com).

India's success in dealing with centrifugal forces owes a lot to our federal structure where the states have a great degree of political and economic freedom. The creation of linguistic provinces keeping in with the wishes of people was the best thing that happened to India.

This was partly an accident as Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru was opposed to it. It was after Potti Sriramulu fasted to death for the creation of Andhra Pradesh that the floodgates to reorganisation of states were opened. The reality of the Indian subcontinent or for that matter South Asia is that many regional identities like Tamil, Marathi and Sikh have a long historical and cultural context.

Baloch identity similarly goes back to pre-historic days and predates the birth of Islam (the Brohi language is one of the oldest in the world). To think that the killing of one man or wiping out the leadership would end the problem is foolish.

However, Pakistan is unlikely to be ousted from Balochistan in a hurry. The differences with the Bangladesh situation are quite obvious. Pakistan suffered from a grave handicap of distance as well as the cutting off of lines of communication in case of war in erstwhile East Pakistan.

Balochistan is a geographically contiguous part of Pakistan. External help for the Balochis can at the most come from landlocked Afghanistan, and with the heavy US and NATO presence there, even this is problematic. Thus there are severe limitations on the the kind of external help the Balochis can depend on. .

Both the Vietnam war in its final stages and the Afghan conflict clearly proved that a conventional armed force cannot be defeated by guerrilla fighters alone. In the case of Vietnam there was wholesale defection from the South Vietnamese army that paved the way, a situation most unlikely in Pakistan.

The Najibullah regime survived the Afghan guerrillas' onslaught for nearly a year, and in the end it was the major defections by his forces and direct Pakistani intervention that ultimately sealed his fate. In the Bangladesh war as well, while the Mukti Bahini indeed was a great help, the ultimate knockout blow was delivered by the regular Indian army. Unless there is a radical change in the US/NATO approach to Pakistan, this is unlikely to happen.

The most likely scenario is that guerrilla war will continue in Balochistan and Balochis in other parts of Pakistan will carry out a campaign of sabotage. The Pakistani state will continue to limp along. Balochistan is not Bangladesh.

The author, a former Joint Director, War Studies Division at the Ministry of Defence, has studied insurgencies in Mizoram, Kashmir, Sri Lanka and Northern Ireland

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Killing Bugti is a big political mistake

M B Naqvi
Wednesday, August 30, 2006
The writer is a veteran journalist and freelance columnist.

http://www.thenews.com.pk

The government claims that Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti was not targeted and killed by mistake. Even so it was a big political mistake. There were persistent reports earlier that Bugti was going to be either killed or arrested "shortly". Few will buy the statement that it was a mistaken killing in view of all those published reports during the last fortnight or more.

It was an operation that lasted several days. The government's case is simple. Two helicopters were fired at and that required a riposte. No doubt the authorities had some intelligence about the Bugti sardar. This is what is suggested by so many published reports. For one thing the official response was disproportionate. That is why one says it was a big mistake. The government's position of establishing order -- there is no law involved --is comprehensible but not necessarily correct. Balochistan's state of law and order has been deplorable for some years now; an insurgency of sorts has been going on. Who is responsible? Well, there are two sides and both can be faulted for their methods. The government's responsibility is even greater. It should have prevented the emergence of insurgency by political methods.

The main Baloch grievance is political in nature that, except for the short duration of Ataullah Mengal's government in the early 1970s, the Balochistan governments have been nominees of Islamabad. Provincial governments in Quetta have served the interests and the purposes of Islamabad and the centre has not given as much in return to Balochistan as it has taken out of Balochistan. This is nothing more than exploitation. The Baloch have a grievance that natural gas is taken from Balochistan and consumed in other provinces but that the royalties paid to the province are small. Then there is the view that no central government has ever cared for the development of this vast and arid province; it is still the most underdeveloped area of Pakistan.

Killing Bugti is a big political mistake because he was not an ordinary individual and symbolised Baloch nationalism. It is the consciousness of an identity that one possesses on the basis of race, language, history, religion or culture. Does anyone oppose the idea that identity with any ethnic factor can cause a strong reaction? It is not a law and order matter at all. The reaction will of course be proportionate to the offence caused. While maintaining law and order is the responsibility of any government, it should also know how to solve basic political problems by political means.

The centre has also been very trigger-happy as far as Balochistan is concerned. What is happening right now has been repeated before in the past as well. It is not that the Baloch are unreasonable or too demanding. One remembers any number of conversations with Attaullah Mengal, Bugti and a few Marris. Their demands were quite reasonable and in fact modest amounting to no more than being patiently and sympathetically heard by Islamabad's top brass. Military action against them in the 1970s was totally unjustified, no matter what the intelligence agencies then had told the then government. The action that was taken was wrong because it carried out against a democratic as well as moderate government that had done nothing wrong.

Again, there is so much talk of a foreign hand particularly Afghanistan and India. To think that any power will forcibly take Balochistan from this country is ludicrous; think-tanks in other countries have noted Pakistan's troubles on this matter and they know where it will end if Pakistani authorities continue with their penchant for responding with the gun to every political demand. Even if it were true that foreign hands were involved, making a noise about it will not help.

At least in one respect, the Afghans and the US are right that the Taliban in Pakistan do pose a threat to them in Afghanistan. It is Islamabad that has to clearly choose between the war on terrorism and the Taliban. It cannot hunt with the Americans and run with the Taliban. The best thing to do is to have an inclusive democratic dispensation in all political views can be accommodated, including those held by the unhappy and disillusioned Baloch nationalists. The solution to the problem of extremism and militancy can also be solved through such an inclusive democratic dispensation, though it may be gradual.

We need to be careful. The country has already experienced major trauma in 1971 when the mishandling of East Pakistan created a new nation. The demands of the Baloch also boil down to a share in decision-making and in ending the exploitation of the region's resources for the benefit of others and not the local population. These demands are fully justified. One says nothing about the methods that were adopted by unhappy and dissatisfied Baloch young men. One is opposed to violence in politics, all violence, even by the state.

There is no reason why the Baloch should not be the true decision-makers about their own affairs. They have to be stakeholders, not merely to be informed from on high. It is the substance of power that is being demanded. But the power that is to be given to them is their due and should not be seen as coming at the expense of Punjabis, Sindhis or Pathans. Regional governments should be true governments made by and for local citizens. It is not for army generals or waderas from other provinces to determine how the resources of a province are to be used.

What the government is required to do is to let the Baloch order and reorder their own affairs without let or hindrance from others. They have to be empowered to shape their own destiny. In addition, Islamabad ought to create conditions in which the Baloch regard themselves as stakeholders not only in Balochistan but also in Pakistan. If Pakistan is dear to those who rule it, they should do what it takes so that the Baloch recognise that. It is Islamabad which needs to adjust and not the other way around.

Email: mbnaqvi@cyber.net.pk

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After Akbar Bugti, what?

By Zubeida Mustafa
http://www.dawn.com

August 30, 2006

NAWAB Akbar Khan Bugti is dead. His violent death at the hands of the Pakistan army in a targeted military operation has given Balochistan the martyr that it needed at this hour to rally people round the nationalist movement and inject fresh vigour into it. Ironically, in his death Bugti?s contribution to Baloch nationalism may prove to be greater than his role in life.

His oppressive tribalism and brutal style of ruling over his clan drove terror in the heart of many of his tribesmen and earned him enemies among his own Baloch people. He was accused of not doing enough for his people though he had been at the helm in his province ? once as governor under Z.A. Bhutto and then as chief minister under Nawaz Sharif. Regarded as Islamabad?s point man in the province, Bugti could have brought prosperity and development to Baloch society if he had wanted to ? until he fell out with the rulers. But all his failings will now be erased from public memory as he is mourned as the hero who fought for Baloch nationalist autonomy and honour.

The violent reaction to Bugti?s death in Balochistan and also the Baloch-dominated areas of Sindh has not been entirely unexpected. Of course, those in office have turned a blind eye to reality and are insisting that all has been well in the aftermath of the events of August 26. But if General Musharraf had the political instincts of Nawab Bugti he would have realised a long time ago that the issues that are disturbing the Baloch now are no more of an economic nature that can be resolved by pouring money into the marginalised province. Today, what is at stake is the Baloch aspiration to have decision-making power in their own affairs and on issues that concern them.

For them, what is important is not that Gwadar is developed as a modern port but that the Baloch should exercise control over the process of formulating and executing a policy in respect of Gwadar. The presence of the Frontier Constabulary in their home province is another provocation because it is a constant reminder that the Baloch have no hold over their own territory. Lack of control over their own natural resources such as the gas at Sui has also irked the nationalists. These issues may be beyond the comprehension of a non-political government that is constantly boasting of the colossal funds it is pouring into the development of Balochistan.

Problems of lawlessness and militancy as posed by Balochistan cannot be resolved by economic bribery as the British would vouch for. They paid massive sums to the tribes in the North West Frontier yet could at the most pacify them for brief periods. Neither can turbulent tribal societies be subjugated militarily to force them into submission, as the Musharraf government is confident that it can do. It will hopefully come a round to seeing the folly of such an approach. The only way of pacifying the Baloch is by talking to them and treating them with due respect. This is what the government was being advised to do all along.

In fact, those leaders of the ruling PML-Q with some political understanding had been suggesting to General Musharraf to initiate a dialogue with Akbar Bugti. Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain, PML-Q?s president, even formed a parliamentary committee when he was the caretaker prime minister in 2004 and visited Akbar Bugti in his stronghold in Dera Bugti. Two subcommittees were set up. The one headed by Mushahid Hussain, PML-Q?s secretary general, prepared a report with some very sensible proposals. That entailed a number of visits and meetings with various sections of the Baloch population.

But this process was not allowed to go ahead and the recommendations were not implemented. The ceasefire that had been negotiated broke down and the dialogue came to an abrupt end. The rulers in Islamabad were convinced that they could divide the Baloch and militarily crush the intransigent sections. But that strategy has failed. The jirga held last week that declared support for the president was stage-managed. It is unlikely that this pro-establishment jirga will stand up now to condemn Bugti for his shortcomings. He will be glorified and idealised even by his detractors as the champion of Baloch nationalism, just as members of the ruling party have expressed shock at his death.

Bugti was a shrewd politician and could be tackled only by another politician shrewder than him. Pervez Musharraf was no match because army generals do not negotiate with their enemies. They fight them in a bid to vanquish them. That approach has proved to be lethal.

The question that is haunting every thinking mind in Pakistan is: what next after Bugti? Are the rioting and turbulence that have erupted a foreboding of worse to come? Those who still remember the traumatic events of 1971 are asking: will history repeat itself? It is small comfort that at least the people are allowed to speak out against what is happening in Balochistan. Bangladesh had gone unwept and unsung.

But if this articulation of public discontent on what the army is doing in Balochistan has no impact on the governments thinking, this freedom of expression will bring no credit to the military rulers. At the same time, the opposition forces will be quick to capitalise on the crisis which will become their rallying cry. With so many contradictory issues muddying politics in Pakistan, one cannot even predict a steady movement towards a stable democracy.

What is more, the repercussions of Bugtis death will be felt far and wide. Pakistan?s relations with India which had been on the slide for quite some time ? more so since the serial bomb explosions in Mumbai in July 2006 ? can be expected to deteriorate further. The Pakistan government?s conviction ? or at least what it says ? is that the Baloch problem is rooted in India?s policy of meddling in the region. Hence the recriminations that have already started and will hardly benefit India-Pakistan relations. The IPI will now receive a quiet burial and Pakistan will find Iran distancing itself from Islamabad. This hardly augurs well for our foreign policy.

Mercifully, the US State Department has been very correct in its stance on Balochistan. It has expressed its hope that the dispute will be settled within the framework of a strong and unified Pakistan. It also added that Bugti?s death will have no effect on US-Pakistan relations. That will be reassuring for General Musharraf. But he cannot be complacent given the article and map published in the US Armed Forces Journal which show a ?Free Balochistan? as a result of the redefining of the boundaries in the region on religious and ethnic lines. The Americans have denied that they have any such plans. But can one believe them?
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How the Death of a Leader Creates a Bigger Problem for Pakistan
 

The aftermath of killing tribal leader Nawab Akbar Bugti exposes Musharraf's difficulties in trying to control the country's volatile regions
By ARYN BAKER

http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1449003,00.html
Posted Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2006


When Nawab Akbar Bugti was killed in a military operation in Pakistan's restive Baluchistan province on Saturday, Pakistan's security forces may have thought they were ridding themselves of a particularly annoying problem that has plagued Islamabad for the past two years. As it turns out, they only made things worse.

Bugti, 79, was one of three Baluch tribal leaders leading an armed uprising against the central government that has seen more than 400 officials and military personnel dead in recent months. The violence has led to the displacement of thousands of ethnic Baluch, the interruption of vital gas supplies (Pakistan's principal gas pipeline runs through the center of the province), and the diversion of President Pervez Musharraf's already overstretched army. The fight is about resources. The province of Baluchistan, which is rich in oil and gas, is also home to a fiercely independent and distinct ethnic group that spans parts of Pakistan, Iran and Afghanistan. The largely impoverished Baluch see little benefit from those resources, and Bugti had long demanded royalties from the central government for development of the neglected region.

But Bugti was not simply the leader of a 300,000-strong tribe of alienated Baluch. He was also a former provincial governor, a former chief minister and the moderate leader of a well-recognized political party. Not since the Supreme Court-ordered hanging of former Prime Minister and President Zulfikar Ali Bhutto following a military coup in 1977 has such a mainstream political leader been killed at the behest of the Pakistani government. As the spontaneous riots spreading across the country can attest, Bugti was not just a local, or even a Baluch hero, but a nationally respected politician whose cause resonated throughout the country.

In using force to take out the small problem of an avowedly secular and anti-Taliban insurgent group (with reasonable demands, if not reasonable means), the military-led government of President Pervez Musharraf may find that it has simply highlighted the larger issue of military rule on the day before Musharraf's hand-picked Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz faces a vote of no-confidence in Parliament. As an editorial in Dawn, a highly respected English-language newspaper points out, Bugti's death will only lead to a sharp deterioration in the already heated government-opposition relations: "It doesn't do the state any good to be remembered as an executioner of former prime ministers and chief ministers."

Pakistani security forces may have thought that in killing Bugti they could curtail growing anti-government sentiment in Baluch areas indifferent to his cause. Instead, many Baluch will see his death as proof that the federal government will never give them the fair treatment they feel they are owed. Around 500 people have been detained in riots throughout the province, and schools have been ordered closed for three days in anticipation of more unrest. Train service in and out of the area has been restricted. More alarmingly, Baluch protestors in Quetta, the provincial capital, and Karachi, the capital of neighboring Sindh province, have been targeting Punjabi-owned properties and businesses, exacerbating already volatile ethnic divisions throughout country. Large segments of Pakistan's army come from Punjab, home to the nation's capital, Islamabad, and other groups in Pakistan often resent Punjabis for the perceived benefits of government preference.

A coalition of opposition groups, the Alliance for the Restoration of Democracy (ARD), has called the attack on Bugti a tragedy, saying that General Musharraf's choice of a military operation over dialogue only proves that the military dictator has become a security risk for the country. Not only that, says Samina Ahmed, South Asia Director of the International Crisis Group, the government's military response to the question of states' rights comes at a very delicate moment. For the past several years, Musharraf has been struggling to bring the historically autonomous Federally Administered Tribal Areas under central control. The notoriously lawless region, running along the mountainous border with Afghanistan, is said to shelter Taliban and al-Qaeda leadership and militant training camps, though the Pakistani government denies this. Local tribal leaders have been fiercely resistant to calls to join the Pakistani federation; Bugti's death and the accompanying military action will only strengthen that resolve.

At an ARD press conference Sunday attended by Pakistani journalists, a member of deposed Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif's PML-N party said: "Bullets don't solve problems; they create problems," pointing out that a "martyred" leader will only strengthen the insurgency's cause. Bugti was prepared for just that.

This past May Bugti spoke with TIME by satellite phone from the mountain refuge that eventually became his tomb. "It's better to die — as the Americans say — with your spurs on," he said. "Instead of a slow death in bed, I'd rather death come to me while I'm fighting for a purpose." Bugti got his wish. And President Musharraf now has a much bigger problem on his hands.

With reporting by Ghulam Hasnain/Karachi and Tim McGirk